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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. SS peers

Rank #15 of 64

Each bar is one SS, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Jeremy Peña
Jeremy Peña · #15
V⁻ -12VORP 26V⁺ 51
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Peña

SS·HOU
Compare
Compare
PA
140
H
34
HR
3
AVG
.274
xwOBA
.365
PPG
2.69
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj92397.268.323.419.151.33017.6%6.0%11.6%11102142.32—
202632140.274
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

140 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
75
.365
xBA
99
.309
.353
.395
.121
.365
14.3%
8.6%
5.7%
3
5
86
2.69
—
2025129543.304.365.477.173.33717.1%6.4%10.7%17203562.76—
2024163650.266.310.394.128.31417.1%3.8%13.3%15213482.13—
2023166635.263.324.381.118.31220.3%6.8%13.5%10133121.88—
2022156558.253.291.426.173.31024.2%3.9%20.3%22113262.09—
xSLG
66
.452
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
12
85.9
Median EV
27
90.6
90th % EV
22
102.4
Barrel %
14
4.8
Hard-Hit %
13
32.4
Sweet-Spot %
43
35.2
Bat Speed
Avg
56
70.6
Median
48
71.7
90th %
36
75.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
28
32.8
Whiff %
38
23.7
K %
84
14.3
BB %
40
8.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
111
≈ 86th pctl
Chase cost
-3.0r
32 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.7r
12 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
56.7%
180 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.08
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1112+17%64+50%61+38%8-11%9-10%10+0%21+0%952+67%6+0%9-17%6+0%6-12%832355451233121CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 180