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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Peña

SS·HOU
Compare
Compare
PA
635
H
152
HR
10
AVG
.263
xwOBA
.312
PPG
1.88
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202631132.280.351.407.127.37114.4%7.6%6.8%35812.61—
2025129543.304
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
14
.312
xBA
57
.260
xSLG
.365
.477
.173
.337
17.1%
6.4%
10.7%
17
20
356
2.76
—
2024163650.266.310.394.128.31417.1%3.8%13.3%15213482.13—
2023166635.263.324.381.118.31220.3%6.8%13.5%10133121.88—
2022156558.253.291.426.173.31024.2%3.9%20.3%22113262.09—
10
.375
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
11
87.1
Median EV
22
91.0
90th % EV
22
103.7
Barrel %
7
4.0
Hard-Hit %
14
35.8
Sweet-Spot %
22
33.3
Bat Speed
Avg
48
70.3
Median
42
71.3
90th %
40
76.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
12
35.7
Whiff %
26
26.2
K %
53
20.3
BB %
28
6.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
92
≈ 21th pctl
Chase cost
-51.2r
542 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-18.2r
273 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
53.0%
2,452 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.83
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
135+0%6+17%632+0%13+29%14+19%26+13%32+42%24+40%15+43%7+50%16+8%48-34%71-18%51-13%38+67%15+33%9+36%33+8%52-13%68-30%46-15%40+62%135+35%26+48%44+51%37+25%28+11%18+21%142+29%14+10%21+15%13+20%10112CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000