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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Peña

SS·HOU
Compare
Compare
PA
650
H
160
HR
15
AVG
.266
xwOBA
.314
PPG
2.13
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202632140.274.353.395.121.36514.3%8.6%5.7%35862.69—
2025129543.304
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
20
.314
xBA
52
.251
xSLG
.365
.477
.173
.337
17.1%
6.4%
10.7%
17
20
356
2.76
—
2024163650.266.310.394.128.31417.1%3.8%13.3%15213482.13—
2023166635.263.324.381.118.31220.3%6.8%13.5%10133121.88—
2022156558.253.291.426.173.31024.2%3.9%20.3%22113262.09—
18
.389
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
19
87.8
Median EV
15
90.3
90th % EV
27
103.5
Barrel %
14
5.4
Hard-Hit %
28
38.8
Sweet-Spot %
5
30.2
Bat Speed
Avg
65
71.2
Median
63
72.3
90th %
47
76.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
7
36.5
Whiff %
44
22.9
K %
72
17.1
BB %
2
3.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
90
≈ 16th pctl
Chase cost
-49.8r
505 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-15.2r
271 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
53.9%
2,282 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.85
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
15+13%8+14%7131+29%7+25%20-3%30+17%24+41%22+22%95+31%13-3%29-28%60-17%53-10%48+59%29+43%14+67%18+13%45-18%85-27%64-22%36+55%22+56%9+48%25+59%39+41%34+23%39+38%16+36%144+9%11+41%17+41%27+64%11+0%61CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000