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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Peña

SS·HOU
Compare
Compare
PA
543
H
150
HR
17
AVG
.304
xwOBA
.337
PPG
2.76
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202631132.280.351.407.127.37114.4%7.6%6.8%35812.61—
2025129543.304
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
55
.337
xBA
57
.258
xSLG
.365
.477
.173
.337
17.1%
6.4%
10.7%
17
20
356
2.76
—
2024163650.266.310.394.128.31417.1%3.8%13.3%15213482.13—
2023166635.263.324.381.118.31220.3%6.8%13.5%10133121.88—
2022156558.253.291.426.173.31024.2%3.9%20.3%22113262.09—
39
.422
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
23
88.4
Median EV
31
92.1
90th % EV
39
104.8
Barrel %
34
8.2
Hard-Hit %
39
42.9
Sweet-Spot %
4
31.3
Bat Speed
Avg
55
70.8
Median
50
72.0
90th %
31
75.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
11
35.5
Whiff %
29
25.8
K %
73
17.1
BB %
24
6.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
98
≈ 43th pctl
Chase cost
-33.9r
388 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-12.5r
235 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
51.2%
1,791 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.59
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
434+0%625+17%12-11%18+8%25+38%13+27%115+60%15+17%30-29%42-23%61-22%37+61%23+43%7+45%22+10%51-28%69-26%66-21%33+83%184+50%36+50%68+34%61+21%47+28%36+23%132+18%22+13%15+18%17+31%13+17%653CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000