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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #71 of 237

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Jesús Sánchez
Jesús Sánchez · #60
V⁻ -19VORP 10V⁺ 16
Jesús Sánchez

Jesús Sánchez

OF·TOR
Compare
Compare
PA
234
H
59
HR
7
AVG
.274
xwOBA
.336
PPG
1.49
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj62267.251.316.424.173.32823.1%8.1%15.0%951332.15—
202673234.274
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

234 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
52
.336
xBA
78
.275
.322
.437
.163
.336
22.2%
4.3%
17.9%
7
1
109
1.49
—
2025134498.237.304.394.157.32522.1%8.4%13.7%14132341.75—
2024152538.251.314.416.165.35026.0%7.6%18.4%18162521.66—
2023122402.253.328.450.197.35126.6%9.5%17.1%1431941.59—
2022103344.213.280.401.188.29726.7%7.6%19.1%1311471.43—
202164251.251.320.489.238.33631.1%8.0%23.1%1401191.86—
20201129.040.172.080.040.24637.9%13.8%24.1%0040.36—
xSLG
72
.455
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
81
91.1
Median EV
71
94.3
90th % EV
48
104.9
Barrel %
62
10.8
Hard-Hit %
78
46.7
Sweet-Spot %
37
34.7
Bat Speed
Avg
62
71.4
Median
33
70.6
90th %
83
79.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
5
39.7
Whiff %
42
22.8
K %
42
22.2
BB %
5
4.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
97
≈ 39th pctl
Chase cost
-5.6r
56 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.9r
32 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
54.4%
283 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.65
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
23123+33%6+29%75+22%95+63%8+33%15-33%21-31%16-38%13+25%85+17%6+10%10-15%13-9%22-7%14+58%12+33%64+33%6+0%8-22%9231242CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 283