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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. SS peers

Rank #13 of 64

Each bar is one SS, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100JJ Wetherholt
JJ Wetherholt · #13
V⁻ -5VORP 34V⁺ 54
JJ Wetherholt

JJ Wetherholt

2B / SS·STL
Compare
Compare
PA
272
H
56
HR
9
AVG
.245
xwOBA
.357
PPG
2.68
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj96417.254.341.409.155.33717.9%10.0%7.9%1292292.39—
202660272.245
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
65
.357
xBA
36
.248
xSLG
.359
.393
.148
.357
16.9%
11.4%
5.5%
9
7
161
2.68
—
59
.443
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
74
90.8
Median EV
27
90.6
90th % EV
26
102.9
Barrel %
38
7.6
Hard-Hit %
80
48.4
Sweet-Spot %
54
37.0
Bat Speed
Avg
57
70.7
Median
51
72.0
90th %
44
76.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
89
22.3
Whiff %
54
20.5
K %
72
16.9
BB %
70
11.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
113
≈ 91th pctl
Chase cost
-4.8r
48 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.7r
46 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
43.2%
377 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.97
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1+33%6221+29%7+33%15+5%21+25%16+8%13+23%131+40%10+16%19-29%17-24%29-29%17+33%94+13%8-9%11-32%25-23%26-25%20513+14%7+14%7+22%9332211CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 377