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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. SS peers

Rank #14 of 67

Each bar is one SS, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100JJ Wetherholt
JJ Wetherholt · #14
V⁻ -5VORP 33V⁺ 54
JJ Wetherholt

JJ Wetherholt

2B / SS·STL
Compare
Compare
PA
449
H
99
HR
15
AVG
.255
xwOBA
.349
PPG
2.60
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj96417.254.341.409.155.33717.9%10.0%7.9%1292292.39—
202699449.255
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
67
.349
xBA
53
.255
xSLG
.353
.397
.142
.349
15.8%
10.0%
5.8%
15
10
257
2.60
—
58
.434
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
55
89.8
Median EV
27
90.6
90th % EV
26
102.9
Barrel %
38
7.2
Hard-Hit %
67
45.0
Sweet-Spot %
51
36.2
Bat Speed
Avg
48
70.5
Median
51
72.0
90th %
44
76.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
90
22.2
Whiff %
70
18.8
K %
78
15.8
BB %
59
10.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
113
≈ 91th pctl
Chase cost
-4.8r
48 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.7r
46 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
43.2%
377 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.97
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1+33%6221+29%7+33%15+5%21+25%16+8%13+23%131+40%10+16%19-29%17-24%29-29%17+33%94+13%8-9%11-32%25-23%26-25%20513+14%7+14%7+22%9332211CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 377