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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #40 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Jo Adell
Jo Adell · #40
V⁻ -29VORP 14V⁺ 36
Jo Adell

Jo Adell

OF·LAA
Compare
Compare
PA
292
H
65
HR
10
AVG
.238
xwOBA
.328
PPG
1.77
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj87374.239.298.452.214.33025.9%6.3%19.5%1951882.16—
202670292.238
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
43
.328
xBA
58
.262
xSLG
.283
.381
.143
.328
23.6%
2.7%
20.9%
10
3
124
1.77
—
2025153573.236.293.485.249.36726.4%5.8%20.6%3753172.07—
2024132451.207.282.402.195.31627.9%7.8%20.1%20142211.67—
20232062.207.258.448.241.23840.3%6.5%33.8%31251.25—
2022100285.224.265.373.149.25037.5%3.9%33.6%87850.85—
202136140.246.295.408.162.30922.9%5.7%17.2%42752.08—
202035132.161.212.266.105.22941.7%5.3%36.4%3020.06—
60
.444
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
74
90.8
Median EV
87
95.9
90th % EV
89
108.6
Barrel %
43
8.3
Hard-Hit %
65
45.4
Sweet-Spot %
35
34.1
Bat Speed
Avg
96
75.6
Median
94
76.6
90th %
95
81.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
7
38.2
Whiff %
31
25.0
K %
33
23.6
BB %
1
2.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
94
≈ 27th pctl
Chase cost
-8.7r
90 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.2r
42 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
55.6%
394 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.78
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
133154+25%8+38%8+14%7+33%625+24%17-20%20-23%30-25%12+36%144+55%11+23%31-20%30-13%15-16%19+67%64+45%11+45%11+38%16-27%11+33%12533351CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 394