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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

0+50+100+150
Joe Musgrove

Joe Musgrove

SP·SDP
Compare
Compare
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj8848.033003.903.7322.5%6.4%16.1%————8911.18
20242020103.365003.833.7924.5%5.6%18.9%.324.30076.6%41.7%21410.70
2023171797.31030
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

No MLB Statcast pitching rows for 2026.

0
3.05
3.37
24.3%
5.3%
19.0%
.277
.305
80.2%
46.0%
247
14.53
20223736212.01110013.143.5524.9%5.7%19.2%.288.28678.4%45.9%47112.73
20213433190.3119003.263.5827.1%7.2%19.9%.307.27178.6%45.0%46913.79
20209942.715003.593.1532.9%9.6%23.3%.275.31578.3%47.3%839.22
20193332175.31112014.473.6421.9%5.4%16.5%.309.30563.2%44.9%2958.94
20182121124.3710004.273.6620.6%4.7%15.9%.286.29868.6%47.9%1949.24
20174818130.098264.644.4521.3%6.1%15.2%.321.29973.5%46.5%2284.75
2016111062.044004.064.1321.5%6.3%15.2%.316.28976.5%42.9%11010.00