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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Joey Ortiz

Joey Ortiz

SS·MIL
Compare
Compare
PA
514
H
105
HR
11
AVG
.237
xwOBA
.308
PPG
1.85
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202649164.209.308.266.057.29916.5%12.2%4.3%15661.35—
2025159508.229
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

514 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
13
.308
xBA
9
.228
.275
.316
.087
.275
14.6%
5.3%
9.3%
7
14
227
1.43
—
2024144514.237.331.395.158.30820.0%10.9%9.1%11112671.85—
20231434.212.212.242.030.24926.5%0.0%26.5%0070.50—
xSLG
4
.345
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
12
86.9
Median EV
15
90.3
90th % EV
45
104.6
Barrel %
12
4.6
Hard-Hit %
28
38.4
Sweet-Spot %
1
28.3
Bat Speed
Avg
69
71.7
Median
71
72.9
90th %
79
78.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
73
24.6
Whiff %
88
14.9
K %
55
20.0
BB %
78
10.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
92
≈ 21th pctl
Chase cost
-36.1r
306 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-23.1r
426 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
39.3%
2,121 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.79
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
4+29%7+25%8+0%655+33%12+30%20+26%23+10%30+24%17+46%134+27%15-42%43-51%53-39%69-33%42+62%29+33%9+52%29-22%63-62%56-37%65-33%43+43%23+11%9+15%13+22%41+7%42-23%43-14%28+31%135+0%9+0%7+0%11+0%923CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000