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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Joey Ortiz

Joey Ortiz

SS·MIL
Compare
Compare
PA
508
H
108
HR
7
AVG
.229
xwOBA
.275
PPG
1.43
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202647157.205.309.258.053.29916.6%12.7%3.9%14621.32—
2025159508.229
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

508 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.275
xBA
20
.237
.275
.316
.087
.275
14.6%
5.3%
9.3%
7
14
227
1.43
—
2024144514.237.331.395.158.30820.0%10.9%9.1%11112671.85—
20231434.212.212.242.030.24926.5%0.0%26.5%0070.50—
xSLG
0
.318
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
0
83.6
Median EV
0
86.0
90th % EV
23
103.7
Barrel %
5
3.0
Hard-Hit %
12
32.8
Sweet-Spot %
0
28.4
Bat Speed
Avg
55
70.9
Median
50
72.0
90th %
52
77.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
17
32.8
Whiff %
89
15.1
K %
83
14.6
BB %
11
5.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
86
≈ 7th pctl
Chase cost
-36.4r
335 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-20.6r
384 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.3%
1,868 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.05
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
43+63%82+17%641+38%8+29%14-7%29+23%31+40%30+86%7+50%6+62%13-18%34-45%56-31%68-18%55+75%32+40%10+48%25-12%50-47%76-42%76-28%54+35%23+50%6+15%26+19%26+0%37+18%34+13%24+0%72+50%6+0%12+44%9+10%1031CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000