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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Johan Rojas

Johan Rojas

OF·PHI
Compare
Compare
PA
363
H
82
HR
3
AVG
.243
xwOBA
.258
PPG
1.45
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202565172.224.285.289.065.26623.3%7.6%15.7%113761.17—
2024117363.243
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

363 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.258
xBA
3
.216
.279
.322
.079
.258
19.0%
3.6%
15.4%
3
28
170
1.45
—
202358165.300.340.427.127.26925.5%3.0%22.5%210811.40—
xSLG
0
.293
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
2
82.4
Median EV
1
86.5
90th % EV
15
102.3
Barrel %
4
2.5
Hard-Hit %
4
27.4
Sweet-Spot %
0
23.1
Bat Speed
Avg
25
68.7
Median
26
70.4
90th %
52
76.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
13
34.3
Whiff %
56
21.2
K %
62
19.0
BB %
2
3.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
84
≈ 6th pctl
Chase cost
-26.5r
266 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-14.2r
243 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.3%
1,347 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.02
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3222452+30%10+0%12+33%21+3%32+42%19+73%11+17%6+16%19-24%25-36%53-35%51-17%54+68%224+31%26+9%57-44%70-27%71-30%53+57%28+83%6+37%27+29%38+14%50+4%28+29%21+38%133+33%9+40%20+20%10+9%11+14%732CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000