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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. RP peers

Each bar is one RP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

0+50+100
Jordan Lyles

Jordan Lyles

P·FA
Compare
Compare
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj113.100004.824.9515.7%7.4%8.3%————43.74
2024709.300003.862.1415.8%10.5%5.3%.324.30863.6%42.9%182.57
20233232181.36180
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

No MLB Statcast pitching rows for 2026.

0
6.30
5.52
16.0%
6.0%
10.0%
.340
.254
56.7%
33.9%
140
4.38
20223433187.01311004.384.3718.6%6.7%11.9%.344.31274.1%40.4%2878.44
20213432188.01114005.075.2018.9%7.3%11.6%.351.29775.1%38.8%2346.88
2020131062.316006.935.7013.5%8.6%4.9%.351.28757.7%41.5%70.54
20192929146.0138004.194.5224.3%9.1%15.2%.314.28975.7%41.8%2859.83
201838890.734033.973.9622.6%7.5%15.1%.296.28874.6%46.5%1674.39
201741574.015027.665.5517.0%6.8%10.2%.354.35561.8%50.2%140.34
201642766.346136.244.8211.8%10.3%1.5%.321.31957.6%51.9%320.76
2015131360.336004.774.0914.1%8.9%5.2%.324.30558.1%50.6%524.00