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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #56 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker · #56
V⁻ -64VORP 12V⁺ -13
Jordan Walker

Jordan Walker

OF·STL
Compare
Compare
PA
284
H
77
HR
17
AVG
.296
xwOBA
.370
PPG
3.12
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj90389.253.318.439.186.33525.6%7.9%17.7%1581942.16—
202666284.296
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
79
.370
xBA
84
.284
xSLG
.353
.550
.254
.370
25.4%
7.4%
18.0%
17
10
206
3.12
—
2025108396.215.278.306.091.27931.8%7.3%24.5%6101091.01—
202455182.196.250.357.161.28227.5%5.5%22.0%51651.18—
2023121466.276.343.444.168.33222.3%7.9%14.4%1682311.91—
87
.515
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
96
94.3
Median EV
94
99.0
90th % EV
99
112.3
Barrel %
78
13.2
Hard-Hit %
87
51.3
Sweet-Spot %
40
34.9
Bat Speed
Avg
99
77.2
Median
97
77.8
90th %
97
82.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
16
35.5
Whiff %
17
28.5
K %
22
25.4
BB %
24
7.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
101
≈ 55th pctl
Chase cost
-5.2r
54 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.9r
36 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.2%
327 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.48
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
122211354+10%10533+13%8-10%10-17%18-23%22-15%2754+30%10+30%10-13%23-28%18-50%10+50%835+46%13+0%16+9%11+13%8+33%6332312CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 327