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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Jordan Walker

Jordan Walker

OF·STL
Compare
Compare
PA
396
H
78
HR
6
AVG
.215
xwOBA
.279
PPG
1.01
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202663265.299.360.552.253.37126.0%7.9%18.1%16101933.06—
2025108396.215
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

396 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.279
xBA
0
.202
.278
.306
.091
.279
31.8%
7.3%
24.5%
6
10
109
1.01
—
202455182.196.250.357.161.28227.5%5.5%22.0%51651.18—
2023121466.276.343.444.168.33222.3%7.9%14.4%1682311.91—
xSLG
4
.356
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
88
92.3
Median EV
81
94.8
90th % EV
96
110.0
Barrel %
62
10.9
Hard-Hit %
85
50.0
Sweet-Spot %
1
30.3
Bat Speed
Avg
99
76.1
Median
99
77.6
90th %
99
82.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
15
34.0
Whiff %
0
33.5
K %
3
31.8
BB %
34
7.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
77
≈ 1th pctl
Chase cost
-32.0r
319 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-20.5r
227 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.5%
1,569 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.35
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
235+56%9+43%745+53%15+42%12+29%7+54%24+69%13+43%7+41%17+23%26-30%54-22%45-15%40+6%18+64%14+23%22+26%46-36%80-38%68-28%46+30%27+57%7+9%23+17%52+17%60+24%38+12%17+8%125+8%12+16%25+18%224232CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000