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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Jordan Westburg

Jordan Westburg

3B·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
447
H
110
HR
18
AVG
.264
xwOBA
.355
PPG
2.31
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202587352.265.313.457.192.32722.7%4.8%17.9%1711932.22—
2024113447.264
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

447 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
80
.355
xBA
78
.272
.312
.481
.217
.355
21.7%
4.9%
16.8%
18
6
261
2.31
—
202376228.260.316.404.144.31824.6%7.0%17.6%341131.49—
xSLG
86
.493
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
69
90.8
Median EV
63
93.2
90th % EV
70
106.3
Barrel %
72
11.8
Hard-Hit %
69
46.1
Sweet-Spot %
88
40.2
Bat Speed
Avg
30
69.0
Median
31
70.6
90th %
23
75.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
32
30.2
Whiff %
30
25.8
K %
44
21.7
BB %
6
4.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
104
≈ 66th pctl
Chase cost
-28.2r
286 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-11.2r
210 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
51.1%
1,644 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.40
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+0%6+14%755+38%8+8%12-6%34+12%34+45%20+45%114+53%19-15%33-30%54-9%75-13%46+42%24+13%8+27%22+18%55-32%78-22%41-30%56+39%285+23%22+34%32+8%37+22%37+18%17+17%64+25%12+8%13+12%17+13%8531CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000