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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Jordan Westburg

Jordan Westburg

3B·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
352
H
87
HR
17
AVG
.265
xwOBA
.327
PPG
2.22
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202587352.265.313.457.192.32722.7%4.8%17.9%1711932.22—
2024113447.264
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

352 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
39
.327
xBA
40
.248
.312
.481
.217
.355
21.7%
4.9%
16.8%
18
6
261
2.31
—
202376228.260.316.404.144.31824.6%7.0%17.6%341131.49—
xSLG
58
.454
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
53
90.2
Median EV
36
92.4
90th % EV
61
106.4
Barrel %
64
11.2
Hard-Hit %
42
43.4
Sweet-Spot %
12
32.1
Bat Speed
Avg
26
68.9
Median
26
70.4
90th %
26
75.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
53
26.5
Whiff %
20
27.0
K %
37
22.7
BB %
6
4.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
104
≈ 64th pctl
Chase cost
-21.3r
221 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-9.9r
163 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.2%
1,300 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.40
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
225+33%6+9%1141+43%7+17%12+26%23+47%30+35%26+44%9+0%8+29%17+10%30-28%57-18%57-13%46+56%34+11%9+39%28+5%44-30%69-24%76-24%46+59%34+17%6+24%17+29%28+13%45+15%34-4%25+10%104+31%13+18%17+27%11+0%8+43%73CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000