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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 1B peers

Each bar is one 1B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

-500+50+100
José Abreu

José Abreu

1B·FA
Compare
Compare
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj01.225.285.348.123.28623.8%7.0%16.8%0001.44—
202438120.124.168.195.071.20123.3%3.3%20.0%20230.61—
2023158595.237.299.383
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

No MLB Statcast hitting rows for 2026.

.146
.316
21.8%
7.1%
14.7%
18
1
337
2.13
—
2022168681.303.380.444.141.37616.2%9.1%7.1%1504172.48—
2021164659.261.356.481.220.34921.7%9.3%12.4%3024422.70—
202066263.315.370.614.299.40022.4%6.8%15.6%1902263.42—
2019166694.283.335.502.219.36021.9%5.2%16.7%3324362.63—
2018132553.265.329.473.208.36319.7%6.7%13.0%2223252.46—
2017165675.304.356.552.248.36817.6%5.2%12.4%3335073.07—
2016168695.293.357.468.175.35418.0%6.8%11.2%2504222.51—
2015165668.290.348.502.212.34521.0%5.8%15.2%3004462.70—