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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

0+50+100+150
José Berríos

José Berríos

SP·TOR
Compare
Compare
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj16537.022004.574.4219.0%7.6%11.5%————543.39
20253231171.3105004.104.6219.7%8.0%11.7%.339.28274.3%42.3%3059.53
20243232192.316110
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

No MLB Statcast pitching rows for 2026.

0
3.60
4.65
19.4%
6.8%
12.6%
.338
.256
81.4%
43.2%
384
12.00
20233535202.31213003.693.7923.5%6.6%16.9%.328.29276.0%42.1%39211.20
20223434178.7128005.444.5719.8%6.0%13.8%.353.33570.0%40.7%2407.06
20213434201.01310003.493.4626.1%5.8%20.3%.312.27773.5%43.7%46513.68
2020131368.054003.843.8825.1%9.6%15.5%.322.28577.4%42.0%13610.46
20193534210.0158013.643.7923.2%6.1%17.1%.304.30073.5%42.9%45312.94
20183534201.31311013.713.8125.3%7.7%17.6%.297.26476.2%43.0%44212.63
20172826151.0149003.993.8722.5%7.8%14.7%.305.29371.2%40.6%29910.68
2016141458.337008.026.1517.4%12.4%5.0%.376.34459.7%39.1%-9-0.64