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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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José Caballero

José Caballero

2B / 3B / SS / OF·NYY
Compare
Compare
BF
9
K %
0.0%
BB %
11.1%
xwOBA
.612
PTS
-15
PPG
-15.00
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
2025101.0000054.0032.100.0%11.1%-11.1%.612.5000.0%25.0%-15-15.00
2025 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

9 BF — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Arsenal
FB Velo
0
—
FB Spin
0
—
Extension
6
5.87
Results
xwOBA
0
.612
Barrel %
0
37.5
Hard-Hit %
0
50.0
K %
0
0.0
BB %
3
11.1
Chase %
0
13.3
Whiff %
0
0.0
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
23
≈ 1th pctl
Stuff+
23
if they swing
Command+
91
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
28
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
42.9%
12 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.152
RV per pitch · league 0.046
+0.106 worse than avg · 2 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
-0.005
RV per pitch · league 0.032
-0.037 better than avg · 3 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 28 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
OtherFA
64.3%80.41941+16.8+8.95.820.0%55.6%27.8%0.0%0.0%0.597
EephusEP
32.1%58.71357

2025 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE41°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FAEPCH
Usage64%32%4%
MPH80.458.764.9
RHP Avg68.449.186.6
+18.8
+6.1
5.96
0.0%
22.2%
0.0%
28.6%
—
0.640
ChangeupCH
3.6%64.9897+3.7+1.76.00—100.0%0.0%———

2025 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTEP · 12″FA · 16″CH · 20″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′EP · 116″FA · 63″CH · 101″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (5.20′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). RHP.

2025 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FAEPCH-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FAEPCH-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FAEPCH

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.