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    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
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    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
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    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
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    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
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    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
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    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
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    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
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    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 3B peers

Rank #36 of 41

Each bar is one 3B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150José Tena
José Tena · #36
V⁻ -26VORP -14V⁺ -7
José Tena

José Tena

3B·WSN
Compare
Compare
PA
131
H
26
HR
3
AVG
.213
xwOBA
.294
PPG
0.84
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj34147.248.303.374.125.30325.7%7.0%18.7%34571.67—
202650131.213
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

131 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
11
.294
xBA
25
.237
.267
.361
.148
.294
32.1%
6.1%
26.0%
3
0
42
0.84
—
202551169.243.315.355.112.30321.9%8.9%13.0%03711.39—
202444169.265.296.352.087.30724.3%4.1%20.2%36581.32—
20231634.226.294.290.064.23338.2%8.8%29.4%0030.19—
xSLG
24
.380
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
87
92.3
Median EV
9
88.1
90th % EV
14
101.4
Barrel %
59
10.0
Hard-Hit %
91
52.5
Sweet-Spot %
49
36.3
Bat Speed
Avg
73
72.5
Median
67
73.2
90th %
76
78.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
41
31.0
Whiff %
3
33.2
K %
4
32.1
BB %
12
6.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
89
≈ 14th pctl
Chase cost
-4.1r
39 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.3r
24 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
51.1%
180 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.99
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
121223+43%75+17%63333+11%9-44%18-37%8-27%1144-12%8+0%12-14%7+25%84145+43%7413122CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 180