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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Josh Bell

Josh Bell

1B·MIN
Compare
Compare
PA
618
H
135
HR
22
AVG
.246
xwOBA
.346
PPG
1.96
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202665255.227.289.356.129.30024.3%7.1%17.2%611161.78—
2025143536.236
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
61
.346
xBA
44
.254
xSLG
.325
.414
.178
.361
16.4%
10.6%
5.8%
22
0
282
1.97
—
2024147604.249.320.404.155.31719.9%8.4%11.5%1902871.95—
2023158618.246.326.418.172.34621.7%10.2%11.5%2203091.96—
2022175648.266.365.421.155.35315.7%12.5%3.2%1703902.23—
2021150569.261.348.475.214.36417.8%11.4%6.4%2703872.58—
202060223.226.311.364.138.30026.5%9.9%16.6%80941.57—
2019149615.276.370.567.291.39319.2%12.0%7.2%3704753.19—
2018153583.261.360.411.150.34017.8%13.2%4.6%1223342.18—
2017168621.255.335.465.210.33218.8%10.6%8.2%2623792.26—
57
.455
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
59
90.1
Median EV
32
91.4
90th % EV
75
106.9
Barrel %
59
10.1
Hard-Hit %
55
43.0
Sweet-Spot %
18
32.9
Bat Speed
Avg
59
70.8
Median
53
71.8
90th %
58
77.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
50
27.7
Whiff %
42
22.9
K %
44
21.7
BB %
66
10.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
104
≈ 66th pctl
Chase cost
-41.6r
434 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-17.5r
291 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.7%
2,480 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.39
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
22+11%9+17%12312+25%12+43%28+31%32+11%37+25%12+60%155+43%28+23%60-29%59-7%46-18%33+30%30+36%14+5%20+13%46-34%65-16%50-23%57+32%22+7%14+13%16+23%26+4%27+0%38+0%31+36%1124+0%6+0%7+0%6+17%631CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000