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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Josh Bell

Josh Bell

1B·MIN
Compare
Compare
PA
604
H
134
HR
19
AVG
.249
xwOBA
.317
PPG
1.95
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202668272.232.289.368.136.30323.9%6.6%17.3%711201.76—
2025143536.236
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
23
.317
xBA
22
.237
xSLG
.325
.414
.178
.361
16.4%
10.6%
5.8%
22
0
282
1.97
—
2024147604.249.320.404.155.31719.9%8.4%11.5%1902871.95—
2023158618.246.326.418.172.34621.7%10.2%11.5%2203091.96—
2022175648.266.365.421.155.35315.7%12.5%3.2%1703902.23—
2021150569.261.348.475.214.36417.8%11.4%6.4%2703872.58—
202060223.226.311.364.138.30026.5%9.9%16.6%80941.57—
2019149615.276.370.567.291.39319.2%12.0%7.2%3704753.19—
2018153583.261.360.411.150.34017.8%13.2%4.6%1223342.18—
2017168621.255.335.465.210.33218.8%10.6%8.2%2623792.26—
28
.406
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
39
88.9
Median EV
31
91.4
90th % EV
45
104.6
Barrel %
38
7.6
Hard-Hit %
37
40.1
Sweet-Spot %
17
33.0
Bat Speed
Avg
25
68.7
Median
21
69.9
90th %
35
75.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
50
27.4
Whiff %
42
23.3
K %
55
19.9
BB %
50
8.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
100
≈ 51th pctl
Chase cost
-40.8r
412 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-15.9r
245 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
48.9%
2,246 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.52
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
14+25%8+8%12+0%6535+45%22+19%32+24%37+30%33+14%14+0%7+29%31+22%40-27%59-21%62-11%44+50%44+29%24+29%21+10%39-31%39-22%41-20%41+24%29+35%17+43%14+26%19+7%41-19%31+23%22+0%11+0%6+0%8+10%10+14%7+11%9+0%10+0%62CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000