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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Josh Bell

Josh Bell

1B·MIN
Compare
Compare
PA
536
H
111
HR
22
AVG
.236
xwOBA
.361
PPG
1.97
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202665255.227.289.356.129.30024.3%7.1%17.2%611161.78—
2025143536.236
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
81
.361
xBA
58
.261
xSLG
.325
.414
.178
.361
16.4%
10.6%
5.8%
22
0
282
1.97
—
2024147604.249.320.404.155.31719.9%8.4%11.5%1902871.95—
2023158618.246.326.418.172.34621.7%10.2%11.5%2203091.96—
2022175648.266.365.421.155.35315.7%12.5%3.2%1703902.23—
2021150569.261.348.475.214.36417.8%11.4%6.4%2703872.58—
202060223.226.311.364.138.30026.5%9.9%16.6%80941.57—
2019149615.276.370.567.291.39319.2%12.0%7.2%3704753.19—
2018153583.261.360.411.150.34017.8%13.2%4.6%1223342.18—
2017168621.255.335.465.210.33218.8%10.6%8.2%2623792.26—
80
.490
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
56
90.4
Median EV
69
93.9
90th % EV
82
107.8
Barrel %
69
12.0
Hard-Hit %
67
47.0
Sweet-Spot %
40
35.5
Bat Speed
Avg
67
71.6
Median
62
72.7
90th %
66
78.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
51
26.7
Whiff %
59
21.5
K %
77
16.4
BB %
72
10.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
101
≈ 55th pctl
Chase cost
-34.9r
362 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-17.3r
278 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.0%
2,102 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.48
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
2+13%8+11%9+11%9+0%853+46%13+28%18+3%38+15%27+14%28+30%23+25%8+33%21+31%54-21%53-32%66-16%44+57%21+44%16+22%23-4%52-27%51-25%68-20%40+33%21+60%15+14%14+28%18+22%32-8%26+12%17+8%13+0%94+0%6+11%95+0%642CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000