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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 3B peers

Rank #20 of 41

Each bar is one 3B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Josh Jung
Josh Jung · #20
V⁻ -79VORP -7V⁺ -31
Josh Jung

Josh Jung

3B·TEX
Compare
Compare
PA
253
H
72
HR
8
AVG
.313
xwOBA
.355
PPG
2.59
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj88382.258.308.418.160.32122.2%6.2%16.0%1221802.05—
202661253.313
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
64
.355
xBA
96
.302
xSLG
.371
.487
.174
.355
15.0%
7.1%
7.9%
8
1
158
2.59
—
2025132511.251.294.390.139.30625.2%5.3%19.9%1442071.57—
202449188.264.299.421.157.29625.5%4.3%21.2%74741.51—
2023146515.266.316.467.201.33429.3%5.8%23.5%2313012.06—
202226102.204.235.418.214.29038.2%3.9%34.3%52311.19—
62
.455
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
41
89.3
Median EV
84
95.7
90th % EV
36
103.9
Barrel %
22
5.7
Hard-Hit %
52
43.3
Sweet-Spot %
80
39.2
Bat Speed
Avg
36
69.3
Median
35
70.7
90th %
33
75.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
37
31.8
Whiff %
79
16.4
K %
81
15.0
BB %
21
7.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
85
≈ 7th pctl
Chase cost
-5.7r
52 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-3.2r
48 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.6%
281 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.16
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
21211+29%73+0%75+50%6+22%9+0%10-47%15-22%18+17%6+88%81+0%7+9%11-37%19-42%26-10%2052+50%8+22%9+17%12-22%9+0%62122422CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 281