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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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J.P. Crawford

J.P. Crawford

SS·SEA
Compare
Compare
PA
639
H
142
HR
19
AVG
.265
xwOBA
.343
PPG
2.52
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202655233.228.358.409.181.35718.9%14.6%4.3%1011292.35—
2025171656.264
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
56
.343
xBA
48
.256
xSLG
.351
.369
.105
.331
18.6%
11.3%
7.3%
12
8
338
1.98
—
2024110453.201.303.320.119.31322.5%11.5%11.0%951851.68—
2023147639.265.380.437.172.34319.6%14.7%4.9%1923702.52—
2022159605.242.341.335.093.32013.2%11.2%2.0%643001.89—
2021165687.273.340.376.103.30116.6%8.4%8.2%943322.01—
202053232.255.339.338.083.31816.8%9.9%6.9%261192.25—
201992399.224.313.368.144.29320.8%10.8%10.0%751842.00—
201854137.214.319.393.179.29527.0%9.5%17.5%33651.20—
20172387.214.360.300.086.29225.3%18.4%6.9%01301.30—
15
.388
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
16
87.6
Median EV
14
89.9
90th % EV
28
104.1
Barrel %
10
4.8
Hard-Hit %
16
36.2
Sweet-Spot %
70
37.7
Bat Speed
Avg
42
70.0
Median
53
71.7
90th %
47
76.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
97
18.5
Whiff %
84
16.6
K %
56
19.6
BB %
95
14.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
112
≈ 88th pctl
Chase cost
-33.2r
309 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-22.2r
456 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
38.5%
2,626 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.11
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
3+11%9+0%6+0%15+17%6+0%92+25%12+5%22-3%36+25%28+0%29+17%12+0%6+36%22-4%45-29%72-48%67-30%50+10%29+0%13+26%19-11%38-37%60-18%56-30%54+14%22+0%9+8%12+21%19+11%27+18%33+14%29+17%12+11%9+17%6+17%64443CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000