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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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J.P. Crawford

J.P. Crawford

SS·SEA
Compare
Compare
PA
656
H
151
HR
12
AVG
.264
xwOBA
.331
PPG
1.98
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202655233.228.358.409.181.35718.9%14.6%4.3%1011292.35—
2025171656.264
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
47
.331
xBA
75
.268
xSLG
.351
.369
.105
.331
18.6%
11.3%
7.3%
12
8
338
1.98
—
2024110453.201.303.320.119.31322.5%11.5%11.0%951851.68—
2023147639.265.380.437.172.34319.6%14.7%4.9%1923702.52—
2022159605.242.341.335.093.32013.2%11.2%2.0%643001.89—
2021165687.273.340.376.103.30116.6%8.4%8.2%943322.01—
202053232.255.339.338.083.31816.8%9.9%6.9%261192.25—
201992399.224.313.368.144.29320.8%10.8%10.0%751842.00—
201854137.214.319.393.179.29527.0%9.5%17.5%33651.20—
20172387.214.360.300.086.29225.3%18.4%6.9%01301.30—
17
.387
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
7
86.3
Median EV
13
90.1
90th % EV
15
102.7
Barrel %
8
4.8
Hard-Hit %
15
34.7
Sweet-Spot %
93
41.1
Bat Speed
Avg
33
69.3
Median
31
70.7
90th %
41
76.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
84
21.8
Whiff %
77
18.1
K %
66
18.6
BB %
77
11.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
112
≈ 89th pctl
Chase cost
-38.3r
364 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-19.3r
403 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.7%
2,781 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.07
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+11%9+17%6+0%10+22%95+0%73+50%8+35%26+16%43+9%34+9%47+0%94+62%21+2%48-22%83-28%80-24%59+29%28+0%17+36%14-2%42-20%59-18%62-29%42+29%28+0%8+67%6+25%12+33%36+0%20+14%145+0%6434+29%72CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000