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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. C peers

Rank #16 of 66

Each bar is one C, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-300-200-1000+100J.T. Realmuto
J.T. Realmuto · #16
V⁻ -16VORP -186V⁺ 40
J.T. Realmuto

J.T. Realmuto

C·PHI
Compare
Compare
PA
161
H
30
HR
3
AVG
.211
xwOBA
.325
PPG
1.27
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj78309.251.312.401.150.31822.6%6.9%15.7%941421.82—
202644161.211
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

161 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
39
.325
xBA
51
.257
.300
.303
.092
.325
18.0%
8.1%
9.9%
3
2
56
1.27
—
2025141550.257.317.384.127.31823.5%6.4%17.1%1282401.70—
2024107414.265.322.428.163.34224.6%6.5%18.1%1421991.86—
2023152540.252.313.452.200.33725.6%6.5%19.1%20163102.04—
2022168563.275.344.477.202.35521.1%7.3%13.8%22214012.39—
2021138538.262.343.438.176.33324.0%8.9%15.1%17133112.25—
202049195.266.349.491.225.35524.6%8.2%16.4%1141332.71—
2019150594.275.332.492.217.34420.7%6.9%13.8%2593762.51—
2018126529.277.343.484.207.35119.7%7.2%12.5%2133292.61—
2017149579.278.333.451.173.33818.3%6.2%12.1%1783382.27—
xSLG
28
.389
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
36
88.9
Median EV
54
93.0
90th % EV
14
101.4
Barrel %
14
4.4
Hard-Hit %
43
41.2
Sweet-Spot %
21
32.5
Bat Speed
Avg
64
71.6
Median
67
73.2
90th %
79
78.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
39
31.5
Whiff %
46
21.5
K %
65
18.0
BB %
34
8.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
99
≈ 47th pctl
Chase cost
-4.4r
49 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.4r
42 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.7%
265 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.56
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1322121+50%6+0%13+14%74+17%611-8%12-53%17-6%17-40%1534+78%9+13%15-50%14-20%15-29%7535+36%14+27%11-27%1141232111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 265