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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Juan Soto

Juan Soto

OF·NYM
Compare
Compare
PA
709
H
156
HR
35
AVG
.274
xwOBA
.414
PPG
3.18
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202649206.275.368.528.253.41514.6%12.6%2.0%1361563.18—
2025163716.263
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
97
.414
xBA
84
.278
xSLG
.398
.524
.261
.438
19.1%
17.7%
1.4%
43
38
563
3.45
—
2024176714.288.421.568.280.46616.7%18.1%-1.4%4176583.74—
2023163709.274.413.518.244.41418.2%18.6%-0.4%35125193.18—
2022176665.242.401.451.209.41014.4%20.3%-5.9%2774992.84—
2021157654.313.468.534.221.44514.2%22.2%-8.0%2995413.45—
202050198.346.485.686.340.50114.1%20.7%-6.6%1362144.28—
2019172659.282.404.548.266.41220.0%16.4%3.6%34135703.31—
2018118495.292.405.516.224.38120.0%16.0%4.0%2253543.00—
91
.537
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
91
92.7
Median EV
95
96.8
90th % EV
89
108.3
Barrel %
83
13.0
Hard-Hit %
97
55.3
Sweet-Spot %
3
30.3
Bat Speed
Avg
78
72.3
Median
81
74.4
90th %
87
79.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
99
16.5
Whiff %
74
18.1
K %
64
18.2
BB %
99
18.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
118
≈ 96th pctl
Chase cost
-32.0r
306 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-22.5r
455 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
35.7%
2,893 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.88
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
4+0%8+0%94+0%9+0%94+0%16+16%25+6%32+13%40+14%22+7%142+19%31-12%58-35%69-18%51-8%50+25%16-12%8+7%29-11%44-32%63-26%58+5%37+45%115+6%16+10%30+6%36+20%30+35%23545+0%6+0%7+10%1013CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000