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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Juan Soto

Juan Soto

OF·NYM
Compare
Compare
PA
714
H
166
HR
41
AVG
.288
xwOBA
.466
PPG
3.74
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202654226.287.379.559.272.43413.3%12.8%0.5%1561843.41—
2025163716.263
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
98
.466
xBA
98
.314
xSLG
.398
.524
.261
.438
19.1%
17.7%
1.4%
43
38
563
3.45
—
2024176714.288.421.568.280.46616.7%18.1%-1.4%4176583.74—
2023163709.274.413.518.244.41418.2%18.6%-0.4%35125193.18—
2022176665.242.401.451.209.41014.4%20.3%-5.9%2774992.84—
2021157654.313.468.534.221.44514.2%22.2%-8.0%2995413.45—
202050198.346.485.686.340.50114.1%20.7%-6.6%1362144.28—
2019172659.282.404.548.266.41220.0%16.4%3.6%34135703.31—
2018118495.292.405.516.224.38120.0%16.0%4.0%2253543.00—
98
.663
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
94
93.5
Median EV
98
97.5
90th % EV
96
110.0
Barrel %
98
19.7
Hard-Hit %
98
56.8
Sweet-Spot %
67
36.9
Bat Speed
Avg
85
73.0
Median
92
75.4
90th %
89
79.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
98
18.0
Whiff %
65
20.2
K %
76
16.7
BB %
98
18.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
122
≈ 98th pctl
Chase cost
-34.5r
367 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-21.0r
437 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
37.2%
3,007 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.85
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+0%11+13%15+0%11+6%18431+0%16+26%31+8%39+29%35+48%21+24%175+23%44-22%55-31%83-13%60+17%36+40%205+16%31-21%52-46%68-31%52-16%31+41%17+0%6+9%11-8%26-17%23+32%22+35%174433+0%8112CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000