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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Juan Soto

Juan Soto

OF·NYM
Compare
Compare
PA
716
H
152
HR
43
AVG
.263
xwOBA
.438
PPG
3.45
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202649206.275.368.528.253.41514.6%12.6%2.0%1361563.18—
2025163716.263
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
99
.438
xBA
96
.291
xSLG
.398
.524
.261
.438
19.1%
17.7%
1.4%
43
38
563
3.45
—
2024176714.288.421.568.280.46616.7%18.1%-1.4%4176583.74—
2023163709.274.413.518.244.41418.2%18.6%-0.4%35125193.18—
2022176665.242.401.451.209.41014.4%20.3%-5.9%2774992.84—
2021157654.313.468.534.221.44514.2%22.2%-8.0%2995413.45—
202050198.346.485.686.340.50114.1%20.7%-6.6%1362144.28—
2019172659.282.404.548.266.41220.0%16.4%3.6%34135703.31—
2018118495.292.405.516.224.38120.0%16.0%4.0%2253543.00—
98
.615
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
92
93.3
Median EV
96
97.5
90th % EV
85
108.0
Barrel %
96
18.1
Hard-Hit %
94
55.3
Sweet-Spot %
18
33.8
Bat Speed
Avg
55
71.0
Median
72
73.4
90th %
74
78.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
99
15.8
Whiff %
65
20.1
K %
61
19.1
BB %
99
17.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
117
≈ 96th pctl
Chase cost
-31.3r
296 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-25.4r
533 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
35.5%
2,986 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.90
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3+22%9+6%17+0%7+0%15+0%64+6%18+16%32+7%42-9%45+33%18+0%8+0%6+13%30-10%63-34%73-34%62-11%38+37%192+30%23-24%42-32%78-26%58-16%38+56%184+6%18-9%23+0%30+10%21+36%22+50%6422+22%932CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000