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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #8 of 237

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Julio Rodríguez
Julio Rodríguez · #8
V⁻ 3VORP 69V⁺ 85
Julio Rodríguez

Julio Rodríguez

OF·SEA
Compare
Compare
PA
407
H
94
HR
15
AVG
.253
xwOBA
.349
PPG
2.22
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj101436.274.336.479.205.35821.5%7.4%14.0%19152662.64—
202695407.253
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
67
.349
xBA
75
.272
xSLG
.316
.418
.165
.349
20.9%
7.4%
13.5%
15
12
211
2.22
—
2025176710.267.325.474.207.35221.4%6.2%15.2%32304912.79—
2024146615.272.325.408.136.35125.4%6.2%19.2%20242982.04—
2023161714.275.334.485.210.34724.5%6.6%17.9%32384662.89—
2022150561.283.345.508.225.34525.8%7.1%18.7%28293982.65—
75
.467
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
62
90.1
Median EV
49
92.4
90th % EV
72
106.7
Barrel %
49
9.1
Hard-Hit %
59
43.9
Sweet-Spot %
23
33.1
Bat Speed
Avg
95
75.0
Median
92
75.8
90th %
83
79.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
4
40.0
Whiff %
31
25.4
K %
53
20.9
BB %
26
7.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
86
≈ 8th pctl
Chase cost
-10.0r
94 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-3.0r
50 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
51.7%
418 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.11
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1132+33%63+0%13+7%14+31%135+0%6+33%6+10%10-42%26-15%13-21%14+50%104+71%14+13%23-18%33-41%22-33%12+55%112+33%12+60%15+37%19+22%18+20%15515+25%851CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 418