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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Julio Rodríguez

Julio Rodríguez

OF·SEA
Compare
Compare
PA
714
H
180
HR
32
AVG
.275
xwOBA
.347
PPG
2.89
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202668296.255.315.450.195.34420.9%7.4%13.5%1391632.40—
2025176710.267
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
63
.347
xBA
73
.267
xSLG
.325
.474
.207
.352
21.4%
6.2%
15.2%
32
30
491
2.79
—
2024146615.272.325.408.136.35125.4%6.2%19.2%20242982.04—
2023161714.275.334.485.210.34724.5%6.6%17.9%32384662.89—
2022150561.283.345.508.225.34525.8%7.1%18.7%28293982.65—
72
.475
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
91
92.7
Median EV
93
96.0
90th % EV
91
108.7
Barrel %
76
11.9
Hard-Hit %
91
52.0
Sweet-Spot %
10
32.0
Bat Speed
Avg
98
75.2
Median
97
76.9
90th %
97
82.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
9
37.5
Whiff %
21
27.0
K %
21
24.5
BB %
25
6.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
82
≈ 4th pctl
Chase cost
-61.2r
610 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-18.8r
284 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
53.9%
2,510 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.19
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
43+14%7+13%8+11%9+0%725+27%11+44%27+25%36+33%33+35%203+83%23+9%35-25%56-18%60+2%42+41%29+18%17+68%28+10%40-16%55-19%54-2%44+50%16+50%6+37%19+66%29+25%44+0%23+33%24+22%95+27%11+62%13+0%14+58%12+29%721CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000