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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Julio Rodríguez

Julio Rodríguez

OF·SEA
Compare
Compare
PA
615
H
155
HR
20
AVG
.272
xwOBA
.351
PPG
2.04
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202671314.254.316.439.185.34720.4%7.6%12.8%1391702.39—
2025176710.267
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
77
.351
xBA
73
.264
xSLG
.325
.474
.207
.352
21.4%
6.2%
15.2%
32
30
491
2.79
—
2024146615.272.325.408.136.35125.4%6.2%19.2%20242982.04—
2023161714.275.334.485.210.34724.5%6.6%17.9%32384662.89—
2022150561.283.345.508.225.34525.8%7.1%18.7%28293982.65—
63
.460
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
81
91.7
Median EV
80
94.3
90th % EV
84
108.1
Barrel %
60
10.2
Hard-Hit %
83
48.4
Sweet-Spot %
31
34.4
Bat Speed
Avg
93
74.4
Median
93
75.8
90th %
93
80.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
4
37.3
Whiff %
11
28.6
K %
23
25.4
BB %
14
6.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
80
≈ 2th pctl
Chase cost
-62.8r
585 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-13.7r
236 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
54.1%
2,407 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.18
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
2+67%6+71%7+29%14+0%742+67%9+40%10+28%18+48%29+68%28+50%145+53%15+4%27-23%44-26%57-17%46+46%134+55%22+12%51-35%78-15%53-6%48+46%26+17%6+47%19+49%41+45%40+40%40+25%24+25%85+9%11+27%15+0%11+9%1142CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000