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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Julio Rodríguez

Julio Rodríguez

OF·SEA
Compare
Compare
PA
710
H
174
HR
32
AVG
.267
xwOBA
.352
PPG
2.79
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202668296.255.315.450.195.34420.9%7.4%13.5%1391632.40—
2025176710.267
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
72
.352
xBA
63
.262
xSLG
.325
.474
.207
.352
21.4%
6.2%
15.2%
32
30
491
2.79
—
2024146615.272.325.408.136.35125.4%6.2%19.2%20242982.04—
2023161714.275.334.485.210.34724.5%6.6%17.9%32384662.89—
2022150561.283.345.508.225.34525.8%7.1%18.7%28293982.65—
68
.468
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
82
91.8
Median EV
71
94.0
90th % EV
91
108.8
Barrel %
51
9.8
Hard-Hit %
76
48.0
Sweet-Spot %
9
31.9
Bat Speed
Avg
96
74.9
Median
95
76.0
90th %
95
81.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
9
35.9
Whiff %
23
26.6
K %
45
21.4
BB %
19
6.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
97
≈ 36th pctl
Chase cost
-53.9r
573 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-14.0r
262 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
55.2%
2,561 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.65
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
135+11%9+10%1032+83%6+40%15+21%29+27%26+16%19+21%145+80%15+4%45-34%44-27%60-17%41+36%28+13%15+63%30+14%58-25%63-23%62-5%57+57%21+17%6+32%19+49%41+25%40+8%38+40%15+0%82+36%11+22%9+33%15+9%11+0%83CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000