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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Jurickson Profar

Jurickson Profar

OF·ATL
Compare
Compare
PA
670
H
158
HR
24
AVG
.279
xwOBA
.369
PPG
2.68
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202585373.244.351.431.187.32815.8%12.9%2.9%1492512.95—
2024168670.279
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
85
.369
xBA
89
.284
xSLG
.382
.458
.179
.369
15.1%
11.3%
3.8%
24
11
451
2.68
—
2023123522.241.324.367.126.30817.2%9.6%7.6%912371.93—
2022174660.243.332.390.147.32015.6%11.1%4.5%1553872.22—
2021146412.227.331.320.093.30615.8%11.9%3.9%4101991.36—
202062203.276.345.425.149.33713.8%7.4%6.4%771322.13—
2019140521.216.301.407.191.33014.4%9.2%5.2%2093252.32—
2018150595.253.337.457.204.32414.8%9.1%5.7%20103822.55—
20173170.172.294.207.035.29420.0%12.9%7.1%02260.84—
201688308.238.320.337.099.28919.8%9.7%10.1%521201.36—
59
.456
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
60
90.1
Median EV
63
93.3
90th % EV
53
105.2
Barrel %
32
7.2
Hard-Hit %
63
44.4
Sweet-Spot %
12
32.1
Bat Speed
Avg
42
69.8
Median
40
71.1
90th %
60
77.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
90
21.8
Whiff %
83
15.7
K %
85
15.1
BB %
89
11.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
114
≈ 93th pctl
Chase cost
-37.2r
378 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-19.8r
364 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.4%
2,752 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.07
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
15+8%12+22%9+9%1154+25%12+50%16+30%33+7%44+7%28+7%14+11%9+52%25-2%56-22%60-18%74-25%53+29%28+5%20+35%20-5%40-35%49-26%74-7%44+21%24+0%8+8%13+16%19+8%25-14%21+20%20+8%13124+0%8+0%754CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000