Justin Verlander

P · DET

MLBAM 434378

Seasons

Yr	BF	K%	BB%	xwOBA	Pts	PPG
2026	19	5.3%	10.5%	0.474	-12	-6.00
2025	663	20.7%	7.8%	0.320	220	7.33
2024	398	18.6%	6.8%	0.304	105	6.18
2023	670	21.5%	6.7%	0.295	391	12.22
2022	669	27.7%	4.3%	0.259	645	18.43
2020	21	33.3%	4.8%	0.259	22	22.00
2019	848	35.4%	5.0%	0.250	837	19.93
2018	833	34.8%	4.4%	0.237	698	18.86
2017	850	25.8%	8.5%	0.317	607	14.80
2016	906	28.0%	6.3%	0.275	608	16.89

2026 MLB Percentile Rankings

Season

19 BF this season — below qualified-pitcher cutoff. Bars ranked against qualified peers (faded to flag small sample).

Arsenal

FB Velocity

93.2

FB Spin

2379

Extension

5.90

Results

xwOBA

0.474

Barrel %

12.5

Hard-Hit %

56.3

K %

5.3

BB %

10.5

Chase %

34.9

Whiff %

15.4

Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+

≈ 8th pctl

Stuff+

if they swing

Command+

out-of-zone take RV

Strike quality+

RV of in-zone pitches

Crushable pitches

10.7%

16 meatballs

Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)

0.064

RV per pitch · league 0.042

+0.022 worse than avg · 42 pitches

Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.

Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)

0.032

RV per pitch · league 0.029

+0.003 worse than avg · 10 pitches

How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.

Based on 150 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.

Pitch Arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Spin	Whiff%	Zone%	CSW%	Chase%	xwOBA
4-Seam FastballFF	42.5%	93.2	2379	7.1%	58.8%	35.3%	35.7%	0.489
SliderSL	27.5%	87.4	2407	30.8%	31.8%	27.3%	53.3%	0.677
CurveballCU	17.5%	79.2	2671	16.7%	35.7%	14.3%	11.1%	0.430
ChangeupCH	10.0%	83.5	1706	0.0%	62.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.031
SweeperST	2.5%	82.2	2509	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.357

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.

	FF	SL	CU	CH	ST

Usage	43%	28%	18%	10%	3%
MPH	93.2	87.4	79.2	83.5	82.2
RHP Avg	95.0	86.7	80.2	86.9	83.3

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision

23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival

At the Plate

Where they actually cross

FFSLCUCHST

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.

2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin

Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.

Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.