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    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Rank #57 of 164

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

0+50+100+150Justin Wrobleski
Justin Wrobleski · #57
V⁻ —VORP 7V⁺ —
Justin Wrobleski

Justin Wrobleski

SP / RP·LAD
Compare
Compare
BF
275
K %
16.0%
BB %
5.1%
xwOBA
.312
PTS
166
PPG
15.09
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj251291.065004.424.3318.9%7.8%11.0%————1425.67
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

Arsenal
FB Velo
52
93.8
FB Spin
84
2412
Extension
2026
11
10
68.7
7
2
0
0
2.62
3.27
16.0%
5.1%
10.9%
.312
.243
78.0%
37.9%
166
15.09
202528271.755284.022.7827.1%6.1%21.0%.290.33068.6%51.1%1736.18
20248636.312105.706.2916.7%10.3%6.4%.382.24570.3%31.5%394.88
0
5.40
Results
xwOBA
63
.312
Barrel %
67
7.0
Hard-Hit %
32
42.5
K %
13
16.0
BB %
93
5.1
Chase %
42
30.1
Whiff %
5
16.1
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
114
≈ 92th pctl
Stuff+
94
if they swing
Command+
108
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
96
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
12.3%
34 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.033
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.010 better than avg · 79 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.028
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.001 better than avg · 18 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 277 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
4-Seam FastballFF
49.1%94.02406+16.8+6.55.506.9%60.7%21.4%25.0%3.4%0.342
SliderSL
37.3%86.3

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE36°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FFSLCUSIFCCH
Usage49%37%7%4%2%1%
MPH94.086.378.993.991.384.2
LHP Avg93.284.779.093.088.184.6
2428
+0.4
-3.5
5.36
25.6%
48.2%
25.9%
29.5%
16.7%
0.228
CurveballCU
7.5%78.92380-7.7-7.35.290.0%52.9%17.6%25.0%0.0%0.371
SinkerSI
3.5%93.92188+11.4+14.35.460.0%62.5%0.0%0.0%—0.483
CutterFC
1.8%91.32401+9.3-0.15.42—0.0%0.0%0.0%—0.711
ChangeupCH
0.9%84.21114+11.9+7.05.45—0.0%0.0%0.0%——

2026 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTFF · 18″SI · 18″FC · 22″CU · 21″CH · 21″SL · 23″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′FF · 25″SI · 30″FC · 35″CU · 73″CH · 46″SL · 45″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (4.23′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). LHP.

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FFSLCUSIFCCH-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFSLCUSIFCCH-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FFSLCUSIFCCH

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. LHP.