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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 3B peers

Rank #13 of 57

Each bar is one 3B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto · #13
V⁻ -8VORP 15V⁺ 76
Kazuma Okamoto

Kazuma Okamoto

3B·TOR
Compare
Compare
PA
421
H
84
HR
23
AVG
.224
xwOBA
.314
PPG
1.91
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj88378.236.318.444.208.33823.6%9.7%13.9%1812012.28—
2026102421.224
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
28
.314
xBA
5
.209
xSLG
.305
.443
.219
.314
31.4%
9.0%
22.4%
23
0
195
1.91
—
52
.425
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
77
90.9
Median EV
54
93.0
90th % EV
52
105.4
Barrel %
85
13.9
Hard-Hit %
75
46.5
Sweet-Spot %
13
31.8
Bat Speed
Avg
58
71.0
Median
62
73.0
90th %
63
77.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
65
27.3
Whiff %
4
31.5
K %
5
31.4
BB %
46
9.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
105
≈ 69th pctl
Chase cost
-5.8r
53 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.7r
54 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.7%
368 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.32
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
112112+0%8+44%9+17%1243+63%8+29%7-19%21-43%21-20%15+17%6+0%6+43%7-15%13-30%20-31%29-35%26+9%11+14%7+50%8+38%16-8%12-5%21+30%1022443232CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 368