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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Ke'Bryan Hayes

Ke'Bryan Hayes

3B·CIN
Compare
Compare
PA
396
H
85
HR
4
AVG
.233
xwOBA
.286
PPG
1.34
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202637128.142.195.225.083.31215.6%6.3%9.3%21310.84—
2025153570.235
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

396 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
3
.286
xBA
48
.248
.290
.306
.071
.283
19.5%
6.3%
13.2%
5
13
203
1.33
—
2024101396.233.286.290.057.28618.9%5.8%13.1%4111351.34—
2023128526.271.310.453.182.32319.8%5.3%14.5%15102982.33—
2022137563.242.314.343.101.30521.7%8.5%13.2%7202251.64—
2021102396.257.317.373.116.29322.0%7.8%14.2%691921.88—
20202495.376.442.682.306.37021.1%9.5%11.6%51773.21—
xSLG
4
.343
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
39
88.9
Median EV
46
92.2
90th % EV
33
103.9
Barrel %
3
2.4
Hard-Hit %
56
42.9
Sweet-Spot %
4
29.9
Bat Speed
Avg
56
70.4
Median
56
71.9
90th %
41
76.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
46
28.0
Whiff %
83
15.7
K %
63
18.9
BB %
10
5.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
95
≈ 30th pctl
Chase cost
-25.9r
255 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-15.0r
256 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.7%
1,517 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.70
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
134+0%85115-8%12+17%12+33%24+27%11+11%95+46%13-6%31-28%58-31%68-20%45+60%25+29%14+29%28+0%55-39%80-34%64-33%36+61%23+43%7+27%26+38%48+14%42+6%49+35%17+18%11+0%65+19%16+19%16+13%15+0%71CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000