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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Kerry Carpenter

Kerry Carpenter

OF·DET
Compare
Compare
PA
461
H
116
HR
20
AVG
.276
xwOBA
.342
PPG
2.14
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202644138.231.311.488.257.29133.3%8.7%24.6%80681.55—
2025142464.252
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

461 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
56
.342
xBA
43
.251
.293
.497
.245
.338
22.8%
3.9%
18.9%
26
1
290
2.04
—
2024100296.284.348.587.303.38425.3%7.4%17.9%1802242.24—
2023123461.276.339.469.193.34224.9%6.9%18.0%2062632.14—
202231113.252.313.485.233.30128.3%5.3%23.0%60551.77—
xSLG
65
.462
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
59
90.1
Median EV
68
93.5
90th % EV
23
103.9
Barrel %
60
10.2
Hard-Hit %
62
43.8
Sweet-Spot %
85
39.1
Bat Speed
Avg
23
68.7
Median
28
70.3
90th %
21
74.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
19
33.6
Whiff %
39
23.9
K %
19
24.9
BB %
29
6.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
94
≈ 29th pctl
Chase cost
-37.9r
386 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-11.1r
207 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
52.4%
1,787 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.74
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
254+18%11+18%11+0%71+69%13+45%29+30%44+29%45+36%28+26%19+0%7+55%29+12%49-27%67-22%49-13%47+50%20+45%11+45%22+8%49-29%59-19%63-2%51+68%25+10%10+40%10+24%17+5%21+6%16+33%21+33%94233+0%944CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000