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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Kerry Carpenter

Kerry Carpenter

OF·DET
Compare
Compare
PA
296
H
75
HR
18
AVG
.284
xwOBA
.384
PPG
2.24
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202647153.231.313.485.254.30332.0%8.5%23.5%90731.55—
2025142464.252
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

296 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
91
.384
xBA
69
.262
.293
.497
.245
.338
22.8%
3.9%
18.9%
26
1
290
2.04
—
2024100296.284.348.587.303.38425.3%7.4%17.9%1802242.24—
2023123461.276.339.469.193.34224.9%6.9%18.0%2062632.14—
202231113.252.313.485.233.30128.3%5.3%23.0%60551.77—
xSLG
94
.572
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
67
90.5
Median EV
63
93.2
90th % EV
44
104.5
Barrel %
98
17.7
Hard-Hit %
70
46.4
Sweet-Spot %
97
42.2
Bat Speed
Avg
32
69.5
Median
40
71.1
90th %
35
75.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
21
32.3
Whiff %
15
28.0
K %
25
25.3
BB %
35
7.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
93
≈ 24th pctl
Chase cost
-25.1r
256 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-7.8r
148 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.5%
1,193 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.75
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1+0%8+11%9+0%11+0%9+0%8+30%10+43%23+21%42+50%42+48%23+20%15+0%14+45%31-4%53-41%58-32%63-9%44+68%25+38%16+28%32+4%46-15%60-26%54-16%37+67%15+70%10+12%17+15%27+43%28+17%24+73%11+50%125+0%6+0%7+14%7+33%621CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000