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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 2B peers

Rank #1 of 45

Each bar is one 2B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte · #1
V⁻ 36VORP 73V⁺ 116
Ketel Marte

Ketel Marte

2B·ARI
Compare
Compare
PA
267
H
60
HR
11
AVG
.246
xwOBA
.371
PPG
2.69
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj92399.273.355.484.211.36916.0%10.5%5.5%1732652.88—
202662267.246
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
76
.371
xBA
93
.299
xSLG
.303
.443
.197
.371
15.4%
7.5%
7.9%
11
0
167
2.69
—
2025131556.283.378.517.234.39514.9%11.5%3.4%2844273.26—
2024141583.292.378.560.268.40118.2%11.1%7.1%3674513.20—
2023171651.275.361.484.209.34316.7%10.9%5.8%25114752.78—
2022147559.239.323.406.167.32018.1%9.8%8.3%1252972.02—
202196374.318.378.532.214.37516.0%8.3%7.7%1422722.83—
202047196.286.326.407.121.30610.7%3.6%7.1%211062.26—
2019150628.329.390.592.263.37713.7%8.4%5.3%32105093.39—
2018155581.259.332.436.177.32313.6%9.3%4.3%1473512.26—
201780255.260.348.395.135.35114.5%11.4%3.1%531491.86—
85
.510
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
63
90.3
Median EV
67
93.9
90th % EV
88
108.5
Barrel %
63
11.2
Hard-Hit %
57
44.2
Sweet-Spot %
36
34.5
Bat Speed
Avg
78
72.8
Median
69
73.5
90th %
80
79.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
26
33.7
Whiff %
59
19.6
K %
78
15.4
BB %
28
7.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
84
≈ 5th pctl
Chase cost
-8.7r
70 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.4r
41 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.9%
345 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.20
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
342+0%7324+40%10+0%17+11%9+42%12+0%62+60%15-14%14-32%25-12%24+8%13+44%9+67%6+57%7+0%18+0%6-16%19-40%155254+27%15+0%7-29%7121321CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 345