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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Kevin Kiermaier

Kevin Kiermaier

H·FA
Compare
Compare
PA
408
H
98
HR
8
AVG
.265
xwOBA
.299
PPG
1.81
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202495281.197.238.313.116.23730.6%4.3%26.3%56780.82—
2023120408.265
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

408 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
7
.299
xBA
44
.253
.325
.419
.154
.299
21.1%
7.1%
14.0%
8
14
217
1.81
—
202265222.227.279.367.140.31027.5%6.3%21.2%76911.40—
2021118391.258.331.387.129.28625.3%8.4%16.9%491911.62—
202065159.217.321.362.145.32726.4%12.6%13.8%381031.58—
2019138481.228.278.397.169.29821.6%5.4%16.2%14182551.85—
201892369.216.282.368.152.27124.7%6.8%17.9%7101511.64—
2017106423.275.337.448.173.29523.4%7.3%16.1%15182372.24—
2016112417.244.329.407.163.31117.7%9.6%8.1%12222492.22—
2015154536.263.299.419.156.30217.7%4.5%13.2%10212861.86—
xSLG
3
.347
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
7
86.1
Median EV
16
90.2
90th % EV
14
102.6
Barrel %
6
3.5
Hard-Hit %
10
33.2
Sweet-Spot %
6
30.8
Bat Speed
Avg
19
68.2
Median
17
69.5
90th %
14
73.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
56
27.0
Whiff %
19
27.9
K %
47
21.1
BB %
31
7.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
106
≈ 74th pctl
Chase cost
-25.7r
282 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-10.9r
190 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.6%
1,586 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.30
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
35+0%15+0%10+0%1044+31%13+22%37+14%42+17%42+6%33+11%18+0%9+57%21+22%49-21%68-21%72-25%52+47%34+9%11+27%15+0%43-25%72-29%52+10%39+81%16+57%7+20%10+50%20+21%29+42%26+46%13+43%72433422CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000