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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Kevin Kiermaier

Kevin Kiermaier

H·FA
Compare
Compare
PA
281
H
51
HR
5
AVG
.197
xwOBA
.237
PPG
0.82
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202495281.197.238.313.116.23730.6%4.3%26.3%56780.82—
2023120408.265
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

281 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.237
xBA
0
.196
.325
.419
.154
.299
21.1%
7.1%
14.0%
8
14
217
1.81
—
202265222.227.279.367.140.31027.5%6.3%21.2%76911.40—
2021118391.258.331.387.129.28625.3%8.4%16.9%491911.62—
202065159.217.321.362.145.32726.4%12.6%13.8%381031.58—
2019138481.228.278.397.169.29821.6%5.4%16.2%14182551.85—
201892369.216.282.368.152.27124.7%6.8%17.9%7101511.64—
2017106423.275.337.448.173.29523.4%7.3%16.1%15182372.24—
2016112417.244.329.407.163.31117.7%9.6%8.1%12222492.22—
2015154536.263.299.419.156.30217.7%4.5%13.2%10212861.86—
xSLG
0
.287
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
2
83.5
Median EV
6
88.6
90th % EV
18
102.6
Barrel %
10
3.9
Hard-Hit %
7
29.8
Sweet-Spot %
1
28.7
Bat Speed
Avg
22
68.3
Median
21
69.9
90th %
25
75.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
21
32.3
Whiff %
1
32.9
K %
2
30.6
BB %
5
4.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
104
≈ 65th pctl
Chase cost
-20.0r
213 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-5.1r
98 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
54.3%
1,041 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.41
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1+0%6+0%9+0%9523+40%10+26%23+10%42+22%37+3%31+0%20-9%11+56%27+20%49-24%71-17%78-14%57+48%27+7%14+48%25+20%45-15%60-6%51-8%36+55%20+9%11+50%12+50%20+36%25+59%22+70%20+45%114+14%743222CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000