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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Kris Bryant

Kris Bryant

H·COL
Compare
Compare
PA
335
H
70
HR
10
AVG
.233
xwOBA
.324
PPG
1.79
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20251541.154.195.205.051.21731.7%4.9%26.8%0040.27—
202440155.218
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

335 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
32
.324
xBA
25
.243
.325
.301
.083
.291
31.0%
8.4%
22.6%
2
0
36
0.90
—
202385335.233.313.367.134.32420.3%8.7%11.6%1001521.79—
202251181.306.380.475.169.34514.9%9.4%5.5%501232.41—
2021156587.265.354.481.216.35023.0%10.6%12.4%25103682.36—
202038148.205.291.348.143.28327.0%8.1%18.9%40521.37—
2019152634.282.383.521.239.35122.9%11.7%11.2%3144172.74—
2018108459.271.375.458.187.35223.3%10.5%12.8%1322622.43—
2017169666.295.412.536.241.37919.2%14.3%4.9%2974992.95—
2016183700.291.386.553.262.38922.0%10.7%11.3%39105843.19—
xSLG
31
.417
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
6
85.7
Median EV
5
88.5
90th % EV
12
102.2
Barrel %
22
6.0
Hard-Hit %
9
31.5
Sweet-Spot %
42
35.3
Bat Speed
Avg
16
67.8
Median
14
68.4
90th %
16
73.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
68
25.4
Whiff %
40
23.1
K %
53
20.3
BB %
47
8.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
107
≈ 77th pctl
Chase cost
-21.5r
207 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-8.4r
158 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.2%
1,317 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.27
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
2255+0%8+0%82+11%9+30%10-14%22+25%36+46%26+37%193+45%20-5%40-29%66-5%59+0%36+47%19+0%9+23%22+5%63-29%63-30%66-21%33+30%23+11%9+14%28+23%31+21%38+13%30+14%2242+27%11+14%14+17%6+11%911CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000