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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Kristian Campbell

Kristian Campbell

2B·BOS
Compare
Compare
PA
263
H
51
HR
6
AVG
.223
xwOBA
.296
PPG
1.53
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202573263.223.321.345.122.29627.4%11.0%16.4%621121.53—
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

263 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
4
.296
xBA
3
.221
xSLG
1
.335
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
25
88.6
Median EV
29
91.9
90th % EV
38
104.7
Barrel %
12
5.1
Hard-Hit %
31
41.8
Sweet-Spot %
6
31.6
Bat Speed
Avg
55
70.8
Median
69
73.3
90th %
72
78.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
75
23.5
Whiff %
30
25.6
K %
8
27.4
BB %
75
11.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
94
≈ 27th pctl
Chase cost
-16.4r
149 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-13.3r
199 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
42.0%
1,082 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.74
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
2+17%6+18%11+17%64125+40%15+24%34+41%29+34%32+24%174+43%23-13%45-34%68-29%72-26%50+32%22+21%14+26%19-29%35-43%67-37%65-29%41+21%24+0%7+23%22+19%31-2%41-4%25-11%195+0%6+14%7+0%11+9%11+0%7+0%72CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000