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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

0+50+100+150
Kyle Gibson

Kyle Gibson

P·FA
Compare
Compare
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj113.100004.734.7018.2%8.6%9.6%————47.31
20254412.3030016.7810.5613.7%9.6%4.1%.442.44949.6%48.2%-50-12.50
20243131174.79800
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

No MLB Statcast pitching rows for 2026.

4.17
4.29
20.9%
9.4%
11.5%
.342
.291
71.3%
44.5%
294
9.48
20233534199.7159004.874.1419.4%6.8%12.6%.335.31169.7%49.7%3068.74
20223735183.7109015.004.2120.1%6.7%13.4%.326.31968.7%46.8%2627.08
20213331188.01010013.733.7820.5%8.5%12.0%.304.28173.3%52.4%33610.18
2020131372.327005.605.6219.3%10.0%9.3%.361.30670.5%51.7%594.54
20193630163.7138025.174.3222.6%7.9%14.7%.334.33566.7%52.5%2516.97
20183333199.31014003.704.1121.7%9.6%12.1%.321.28975.5%51.4%33110.03
20173232172.01210004.814.7517.4%8.6%8.8%.355.32173.6%51.6%2166.75
20162828162.7712004.814.6015.9%8.4%7.5%.344.32471.4%49.6%1655.89