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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. C peers

Rank #32 of 66

Each bar is one C, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-300-200-1000+100Kyle Higashioka
Kyle Higashioka · #32
V⁻ -32VORP -250V⁺ -3
Kyle Higashioka

Kyle Higashioka

C·TEX
Compare
Compare
PA
124
H
25
HR
4
AVG
.225
xwOBA
.303
PPG
1.29
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj51202.218.272.379.161.29025.3%6.7%18.5%71791.55—
202635124.225
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

124 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
18
.303
xBA
19
.230
.306
.360
.135
.303
26.6%
9.7%
16.9%
4
0
45
1.29
—
202596328.240.291.401.161.29522.0%6.1%15.9%1131541.60—
202487263.220.264.476.256.30028.1%5.7%22.4%1721561.79—
202384261.235.276.412.177.31028.4%5.4%23.0%1001081.29—
202289248.227.269.389.162.32121.0%4.8%16.2%1001541.73—
202170211.181.248.389.208.34828.0%8.1%19.9%100811.16—
20202249.245.245.510.265.31222.4%0.0%22.4%40401.82—
20191657.214.214.464.250.21045.6%0.0%45.6%30191.19—
20182679.167.241.319.152.30920.3%7.6%12.7%30250.96—
20171320.000.100.000.000.22730.0%10.0%20.0%0010.08—
xSLG
20
.371
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
24
87.5
Median EV
73
94.6
90th % EV
21
102.1
Barrel %
60
10.3
Hard-Hit %
23
37.2
Sweet-Spot %
81
39.7
Bat Speed
Avg
33
69.2
Median
33
70.5
90th %
40
76.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
52
28.4
Whiff %
18
28.4
K %
19
26.6
BB %
54
9.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
98
≈ 43th pctl
Chase cost
-2.4r
26 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.2r
21 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
42.9%
140 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.60
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
111213121+0%6-37%8-40%1041325-25%8-29%14-29%74124+0%73533+33%62CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 140