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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Kyle Higashioka

Kyle Higashioka

C·TEX
Compare
Compare
PA
261
H
57
HR
10
AVG
.235
xwOBA
.310
PPG
1.29
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202633113.245.319.392.147.31426.5%8.8%17.7%40441.33—
202596328.240
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

261 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
13
.310
xBA
16
.234
.291
.401
.161
.295
22.0%
6.1%
15.9%
11
3
154
1.60
—
202487263.220.264.476.256.30028.1%5.7%22.4%1721561.79—
202384261.235.276.412.177.31028.4%5.4%23.0%1001081.29—
202289248.227.269.389.162.32121.0%4.8%16.2%1001541.73—
202170211.181.248.389.208.34828.0%8.1%19.9%100811.16—
20202249.245.245.510.265.31222.4%0.0%22.4%40401.82—
20191657.214.214.464.250.21045.6%0.0%45.6%30191.19—
20182679.167.241.319.152.30920.3%7.6%12.7%30250.96—
20171320.000.100.000.000.22730.0%10.0%20.0%0010.08—
xSLG
54
.447
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
56
89.9
Median EV
74
94.2
90th % EV
47
105.0
Barrel %
66
11.0
Hard-Hit %
78
48.3
Sweet-Spot %
90
39.5
Bat Speed
Avg
44
70.1
Median
62
72.3
90th %
41
76.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
28
31.0
Whiff %
23
26.6
K %
6
28.4
BB %
10
5.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
95
≈ 32th pctl
Chase cost
-18.9r
196 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-9.4r
154 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.4%
1,044 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.71
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
244+33%9411+43%7+55%20+14%21+40%20+47%17+18%112+42%24-14%44-27%66-19%48-15%34+72%18+50%10+32%25-13%55-30%74-33%79-14%49+70%23+10%10+21%29+28%36+17%41+6%33+38%245+16%19+6%18+20%10+13%8122CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000